TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 8:47 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jie Cui and Yibing Wu in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Yibing Wu. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Jie Cui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jie Cui and Yibing Wu in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Yibing Wu. This market will resolve to 'Yibing Wu' if Yibing Wu advances against Jie Cui. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregate beliefs of individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees the actual outcome of the Guangzhou tennis match. It's common to see differences based on differing information and analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment of who will win the Guangzhou tennis match. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic view of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Guangzhou tennis match between Jie Cui and Yibing Wu will determine the outcome. The result will be based on the official match results as reported by a recognized tennis authority. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence this market before the Guangzhou tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds or matches leading up to this event could also impact the odds. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could cause price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of Jie Cui or Yibing Wu’s chances of winning has the potential to move this market.