TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Jie Cui in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Akira Santillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Akira Santillan and Jie Cui in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Akira Santillan' if Akira Santillan advances against Jie Cui. This market will resolve to 'Jie Cui' if Jie Cui advances against Akira Santillan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of professional oddsmakers, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a particular result in the Santillan vs Cui match.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangzhou 2 match between Akira Santillan and Jie Cui. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding the fighters’ training status, potential injuries, or changes in their game plans could significantly shift trader sentiment. Public analysis from boxing experts, media coverage, and even social media discussions can all play a role in shaping perceptions of each fighter’s chances. Unexpected developments leading up to the fight, such as changes in weight class or opponent, could also cause substantial movement in the market.