TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in China's League 1. The result is determined solely by the final score after the regulation 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw based on this specific timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Wuxi Wugou professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Guangxi Hengchen FC, a win for Wuxi Wugou, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within the specified timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the result within the defined playing period, with no consideration given to post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying information sources, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugou match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugou match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugou match, as determined by the governing sporting body. This includes accounting for any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available and authoritative sources, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could all impact perceptions of which team is favored in the Guangxi Hengchen vs Wuxi Wugou match. Significant pre-match analysis from sports analysts, public sentiment expressed on social media, and even substantial bets placed by informed traders could also contribute to price movements. Any new information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning is likely to be reflected in the market.