TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Guangxi Hengchen FC and Shenzhen Juniors FC in China's League 1. Bettors can speculate on whether a specific team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a draw. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event involves three possible outcomes for the Guangxi Hengchen FC vs Shenzhen Juniors FC professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026: a win for Guangxi Hengchen FC, a win for Shenzhen Juniors FC, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that specific result occurs after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The markets exclusively consider the result within regular time, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking procedures.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can trade accordingly, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This dynamic can lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbooks, particularly when information is dispersed among many individuals.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the Guangxi Hengchen vs Shenzhen Juniors match, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 11, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or even shifts in public sentiment could all impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements from either team, or even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could also trigger movement. Any information that alters the assessment of either team's chances of winning will likely be reflected in the prices on Kalshi.