TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 9:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match. Any changes to the game's schedule or cancellation will be handled according to specific guidelines to ensure a fair resolution.
The event resolves based on the winner of the designated professional basketball game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their collective assessment. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial evaluation.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangdong Southern Tigers versus Shanghai Sharks game. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The final result will be clearly displayed on Kalshi once it is officially confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the Guangdong Southern Tigers or the Shanghai Sharks would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, general news coverage and public perception of each team's performance leading up to the game could influence trading activity. Even significant shifts in betting patterns on traditional sportsbooks could prompt adjustments in this market as traders react to the broader landscape.