TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 9:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional basketball game between two teams competing in China's top-tier league. The result depends solely on which team secures a victory in the match scheduled for a specific date and time. Any changes to the game's timing or cancellation will follow predefined resolution guidelines.
If Nanjing Monkey Kings wins the Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Nanjing Monkey Kings men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Guangdong Southern Tigers wins the Guangdong Southern Tigers vs Nanjing Monkey Kings men's professional China CBA basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 7:35 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams’ strengths. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those offered by sportsbooks, it could indicate an opportunity for value betting, depending on your own assessment of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the Guangdong vs Nanjing game. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guangdong vs Nanjing game, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result and settle the contracts accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the winner. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact the perceived chances of either team winning. Furthermore, performance in recent games, updated statistical analysis, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or expert opinions can all contribute to price movements. Unexpected weather conditions, if the game is played outdoors, could also be a catalyst, as could any controversies surrounding the teams or players involved.