TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:33 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match in China's League 1. Bettors can speculate on whether one team will secure a victory or if the game will end evenly. The resolution depends solely on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extended periods.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Guandong GZ-Power FC versus Jiangxi Dingnan United match scheduled for October 11, 2026, following 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers the standard match duration, with no account for post-regulation deciding factors.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could indicate a perceived mispricing or a unique insight held by market participants. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the GZ-Power vs Dingnan United match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds always reflect the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the GZ-Power vs Dingnan United match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could impact the perceived probability of each outcome. Additionally, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi could also cause price fluctuations. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and the trading volume on the platform will be crucial for understanding potential market movements leading up to the Oct 11, 2026 resolution.