TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 6:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Guadeloupe and St. Lucia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guadeloupe" if Guadeloupe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Lucia" if St. Lucia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Guadeloupe and St. Lucia, scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Guadeloupe" if Guadeloupe are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "St. Lucia" if St. Lucia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds remain responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Guadeloupe vs. St. Lucia match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Guadeloupe vs. St. Lucia match. The result will be determined by official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final result as reported by official sources, with the platform facilitating the payout process once the outcome is definitively established.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or social media discussions, might lead to increased trading volume and adjustments to the implied probabilities of each team scoring first.