TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Guadeloupe and St. Lucia.
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Guadeloupe and St. Lucia.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by participants’ beliefs about the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public interest or specialized knowledge influencing the prediction market. Comparing the odds can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of each team winning.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likelihood of each possible result in the Guadeloupe vs. St. Lucia match, based entirely on the actions of market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the Guadeloupe vs. St. Lucia match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this publicly available information. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on objective, verifiable data to ensure a fair and accurate outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on team performance in preceding matches, or even public statements from coaches or players, might impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly affect the market, as traders adjust their overall assessments of team strength and potential outcomes.