TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses whether more than a specific number of goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Guadeloupe and Saint Lucia. The outcome depends on the combined total of goals scored by both teams within the standard match duration.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Guadeloupe vs Saint Lucia professional CONCACAF Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) for each respective market. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the prediction market price will likely diverge. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available, and as the event draws closer, the market tends to converge with sportsbook probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total goals scored in the Guadeloupe vs Saint Lucia match. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate, the price reflects a collective assessment of the event's likelihood, creating a dynamic and informative market signal. The current price indicates what the market believes is the most probable outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Guadeloupe vs Saint Lucia match will be the determining factor. Official sources, such as sports news outlets and league websites, will be used to verify the final score. The market will then settle based on whether the total goals fall within the ranges defined by the contracts available on Kalshi. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to the platform’s standard procedures.
Several signals could influence this market before Oct 6, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact, as key players contribute to scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect the style of play and goal-scoring opportunities. Unexpected tactical decisions by the coaches, or even pre-match team news regarding starting lineups, could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any significant public information about team form or morale could also move the market.