TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two national teams competing in an international tournament. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular playing time, which includes any added stoppage time but excludes any extra time or penalty kicks. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Guadeloupe and Saint Lucia both score a goal in the Guadeloupe vs Saint Lucia CONCACAF Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can be influenced by public betting patterns. This market, however, allows traders to express their independent beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the outcome as the event approaches. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets converge with sportsbook odds closer to the event start time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Guadeloupe vs Saint Lucia match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in 'BTTS', and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants, constantly adjusting based on new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Guadeloupe vs Saint Lucia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both teams scored at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes of play, plus any added injury time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against reliable sports news sources.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Guadeloupe or Saint Lucia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches, as well as public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.