TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Sep 30, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
The match will determine the winner between Guadeloupe and Barbados in a professional soccer game. The outcome depends solely on which team secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The market resolves based on the result of the Guadeloupe vs Barbados professional Concacaf Nations League soccer game scheduled for Oct 5, 2026. A win for Guadeloupe resolves the 'Guadeloupe' market to Yes; a win for Barbados resolves the 'Barbados' market to Yes; a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count towards resolution. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of how each venue operates. If significant differences exist, it may suggest that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Guadeloupe vs Barbados match, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to the market, is that Guadeloupe wins, though the price fluctuates based on trading activity and new developments related to the match.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Guadeloupe vs Barbados match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other related matches, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, any official announcements from the governing body of the competition related to the Guadeloupe vs Barbados match could cause the market to react quickly, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest information.