TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 3:11 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 17 at 9:00AM ET: If the GTK Gliwice win, the market will resolve to "GTK Gliwice". If the Basket Zielona Gora win, the market will resolve to "Basket Zielona Gora". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming PLK game, scheduled for October 17 at 9:00AM ET: If the GTK Gliwice win, the market will resolve to "GTK Gliwice". If the Basket Zielona Gora win, the market will resolve to "Basket Zielona Gora". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on power rankings and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their opinion, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from or converging with sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share, effectively forecasting the probability of a GTK Gliwice or Basket Zielona Gora victory.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the GTK Gliwice versus Basket Zielona Gora game as reported by official league sources. The market will determine which team is declared the winner according to the official game results, and shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to note that the official outcome is the sole determinant of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in preceding games, shifts in team momentum, or even public sentiment expressed through media coverage could also contribute to price movements. Furthermore, major upsets in other league games or changes in broader basketball news could indirectly affect how traders assess the likelihood of a GTK Gliwice or Basket Zielona Gora win.