TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 1:26 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Serie C soccer match between Grosseto and Sambenedettese. Bettors can speculate on whether Grosseto, Sambenedettese, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result within regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Grosseto vs Sambenedettese professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome is determined if the specified team wins within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution excludes extra time and penalty shootouts, focusing strictly on the result within the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the odds can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where sportsbooks may be over or underestimating a particular outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Grosseto vs Sambenedettese match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. The goal is to create a market where prices accurately forecast the eventual result, allowing traders to profit from correctly anticipating the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Grosseto vs Sambenedettese match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact the odds. Unexpected announcements or developments related to either Grosseto or Sambenedettese are likely to generate trading volume. Also, significant bets placed by informed traders could also cause noticeable price movements, as others react to their actions and adjust their own beliefs about the likely outcome.