TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Großaspach and Augsburg. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Großaspach vs Augsburg DFB Pokal match exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals) within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from the calculation. All markets share the same underlying condition but differ only in the threshold required for resolution to 'Yes'. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price of that outcome will fall, indicating higher implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Großaspach vs Augsburg match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people want to buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Großaspach vs Augsburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The market’s settlement is determined by the official result, not by any subjective interpretation or individual assessment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Großaspach or Augsburg could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even significant shifts in public betting sentiment could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on opportunities.