TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 2:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the DFB Pokal tournament. The result depends solely on the performance of the two teams during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The market resolves based on whether either team wins or if the match ends in a tie within that timeframe.
The event resolves based on the result of the Großaspach vs Augsburg professional DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Großaspach wins, the 'Großaspach' market resolves to Yes. If Augsburg wins, the 'Augsburg' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution is strictly based on the result within regular time, with no consideration for post-match events such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and may incorporate a margin for profit, whereas this market allows traders to adjust probabilities based on new information and collective insight. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the likelihood of certain outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time valuation of the event's potential results. The platform uses a fee structure to facilitate trading, which is factored into the overall cost of participating in the market.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Großaspach vs Augsburg match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning contracts and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or significant shifts in public opinion could also play a role. Furthermore, large trades executed by individual participants can temporarily move the market, creating opportunities for informed traders to capitalize on these fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements.