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420,368

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Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Fortaleza EC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Fortaleza EC?

Total volume:
$4
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$4,061
209%
Open interest:
$4N/A

Grêmio Novorizontino

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:18h:20m

Will Grêmio Novorizontino win on 2026-11-07?

52%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 54¢ buys you 185 shares | Odds: 52% Total Payout: $185 | Net Profit: $85 Multiplier: 1.85x | ROI: 85% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Grêmio Novorizontino

Trade
52%
5%
Yes 54¢No 51¢
5¢
$1,217
$4
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 20m
Active
kalshi

Gremio Novorizontino

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 21h 20m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
51.5%
Yes 54¢No 51¢
Avg: 6¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

Draw (Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Fortaleza EC)

Trade
28%
Yes 29¢No 74¢
3¢
$1,445
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 20m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 21h 20m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

Fortaleza EC

Trade
21%
12%
Yes 23¢No 81¢
4¢
$1,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 18h 20m
Active
kalshi

Fortaleza

Trade
N/A
N/A
5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 21h 20m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Grêmio Novorizontino and Fortaleza EC scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning or the match ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution differs between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi lacks a specific rule and will likely resolve based on other factors.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation and the potential impact on each platform's resolution when taking a position. Polymarket offers a clear outcome on cancellation, while Kalshi's outcome is less certain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This applies to all three win/draw markets.
  • Kalshi: Kalshi does not explicitly state what happens on cancellation. Standard Kalshi practice would involve resolving based on available information, potentially favoring the pre-event favorite or a 50/50 split.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Grêmio Novorizontino and Fortaleza EC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Fortaleza professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Gremio Novorizontino win, Fortaleza win, or a tie. If the match ends with a victory for Gremio Novorizontino, the 'Gremio Novorizontino' market resolves to Yes. If Fortaleza secures the win, the 'Fortaleza' market resolves to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tied score, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the governing rules. The resolution exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account taken of extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Fortaleza match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms suggests a roughly 46% chance of a specific outcome, with a total volume of $4. This aggregation allows you to see how predictions are evolving and where the smart money is flowing. The dashboard provides a combined view of market sentiment, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi regarding the result of this match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. The volume of $4 traded on this market suggests considerable interest and potential for price discovery, potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting options.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors, including differing liquidity, user bases, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Kalshi, leading to variations in how information is interpreted and priced. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $4 in the last 24 hours—can influence price movements. These differences highlight the value of observing multiple markets to gain a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes for the Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Fortaleza match.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Grêmio Novorizontino vs. Fortaleza match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and how it aligns with their predictions after this date. The outcome will be determined based on the official result declared by the relevant sporting authority.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team formations, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams, or broader league standings updates, might also influence predictions. Furthermore, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could drive price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to the event's conclusion.