TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 10:28 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Grêmio Novorizontino and AA Ponte Preta, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio Novorizontino" if Grêmio Novorizontino score more goals than AA Ponte Preta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Grêmio Novorizontino and AA Ponte Preta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta" if AA Ponte Preta score more goals than Grêmio Novorizontino in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Grêmio Novorizontino and AA Ponte Preta, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio Novorizontino" if Grêmio Novorizontino score more goals than AA Ponte Preta in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Grêmio Novorizontino and AA Ponte Preta score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AA Ponte Preta" if AA Ponte Preta score more goals than Grêmio Novorizontino in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable traders are rewarded, while those with inaccurate beliefs may lose funds. This creates a dynamic and efficient price discovery process for the second half result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, if either, wins the second half of the Brasileirão Série B match between Grêmio Novorizontino and AA Ponte Preta. A draw in the second half will also be a possible outcome. The result will be determined by the official match statistics and verified against reliable sports news sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Grêmio Novorizontino or AA Ponte Preta would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also move the market. Even weather conditions, if unfavorable, might affect trading sentiment. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion or analysis from sports commentators could influence traders' beliefs and alter the probabilities on Polymarket.