TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:50 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Grêmio FBPA and SC Internacional, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Internacional" if SC Internacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Grêmio FBPA and SC Internacional, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Internacional" if SC Internacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially as an event approaches. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of informed traders. However, initial sportsbook lines can sometimes offer value before the prediction market fully incorporates all available information. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in less liquid markets, as this market’s pricing is driven purely by supply and demand among traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in SC Internacional to score first, the price of those shares increases, and the probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the match. Trading volume influences how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team – Grêmio FBPA or SC Internacional – scores the first goal in the match. Official match reports and data from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their holdings in the winning outcome’s shares. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objectively verifiable data.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Grêmio or Internacional would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also affect trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match interviews with coaches, could trigger buying or selling pressure. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market considerably.