TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:17 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA score more goals than Cruzeiro EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Grêmio FBPA and Cruzeiro EC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC score more goals than Grêmio FBPA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA score more goals than Cruzeiro EC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Grêmio FBPA and Cruzeiro EC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Cruzeiro EC" if Cruzeiro EC score more goals than Grêmio FBPA in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined by supply and demand, with traders effectively betting against each other. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of probabilities based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, Grêmio FBPA or Cruzeiro EC, wins the second half of the match. The official result will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders who correctly predicted the second-half winner will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution. It’s essential to monitor official sources for confirmation of the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media discussions, can impact trading activity and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals can help you assess potential opportunities and risks associated with trading in this market.