TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 7:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Grêmio FBPA vs. Cruzeiro EC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Grêmio FBPA and Cruzeiro EC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Grêmio FBPA vs. Cruzeiro EC match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and the intention to maximize profit, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information and perspectives that sportsbooks might overlook, resulting in potentially more accurate probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective forecast. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are influenced by news, team form, injuries, and any other information that impacts perceptions of the match’s likely result. The total volume traded provides insight into the level of interest and confidence in each possible scoreline.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the Grêmio vs. Cruzeiro match, as reported by a recognized sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the exact final score of the game, including any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result on Polymarket once it has been officially declared, and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Grêmio or Cruzeiro would likely cause price adjustments. Changes in team form, tactical announcements, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team management or internal conflicts might also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket could create momentum and shift the probabilities reflected in the share prices.