TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 12:31 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Grêmio FBPA and CA Paranaense, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Paranaense" if CA Paranaense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Grêmio FBPA and CA Paranaense, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA" if Grêmio FBPA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CA Paranaense" if CA Paranaense are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Polymarket, represents a collective forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the likelihood of either Grêmio FBPA or CA Paranaense scoring first. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team officially scores the first goal in the Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Paranaense match. The official match records will be used to determine the winning outcome, and the platform will verify this information against trusted sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Grêmio FBPA or CA Paranaense would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also sway traders' opinions. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups, or even pre-match commentary from respected football analysts, could all contribute to price movements in this market as traders react to new information.