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411,051
Markets across
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events
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Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:08 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Jaylen Wells will record over or under 3.5 rebounds in the Grizzlies vs. Warriors NBA game on Polymarket. Currently, the market assigns a 100.0% probability to Jaylen Wells exceeding 3.5 rebounds. Resolution will be based on official statistics reported by https://www.nba.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 23 at 10:00PM ET, as the outcome will depend on Wells’ playing time and performance during that contest.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 23 at 10:00PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven by the collective predictions of traders, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd and can diverge from sportsbook lines based on new information or differing opinions about the Grizzlies-Warriors game.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome of the Grizzlies-Warriors game, and the price of these shares reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by various factors, including news, injuries, and expert analysis, all of which are incorporated into traders’ decisions about whether to buy or sell shares in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Grizzlies-Warriors game is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official game result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. The market will then determine which outcome—a win for the Grizzlies or a win for the Warriors—was correctly predicted by the highest-valued shares. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Grizzlies or the Warriors would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team performance, coaching decisions, or even unexpected weather conditions could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, expert analysis and public sentiment shifts, as reflected in media coverage and social media, can all contribute to price fluctuations in this market leading up to the Grizzlies-Warriors game.