TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:47 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may adjust lines to balance their book. This market, however, is driven purely by traders’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own assessments. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge due to varying information access, analytical approaches, and risk tolerance among participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently based on new information as it becomes available.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, with no centralized bookmaker setting the odds. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on collective intelligence and new information related to the Grizzlies-Hawks game.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Grizzlies-Hawks game, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key players on either the Grizzlies or the Hawks would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching changes could also impact trading activity. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can play a role, though to a lesser extent. Major changes in betting percentages on Polymarket will also be a key indicator of how traders are reacting to new information as it becomes available.