TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Grimsby Town FC and Northampton Town FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Grimsby Town FC" if Grimsby Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Northampton Town FC" if Northampton Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Grimsby Town FC and Northampton Town FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Grimsby Town FC" if Grimsby Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Northampton Town FC" if Northampton Town FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of the same event occurring, and each has its own strengths and weaknesses in assessing the likelihood of a team scoring first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Grimsby Town or Northampton Town will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, scaled to a value between 0 and 100. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and trader sentiment regarding the match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scored the first goal in the Grimsby Town vs. Northampton Town football match. The result will be based on official match data and records, ensuring an accurate and transparent resolution. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s guidelines, focusing on verifiable facts from reliable sources to establish the first scoring team.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Grimsby Town or Northampton Town would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or tactical announcements from either manager, might also move the market. Finally, any significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket could indicate informed opinions and lead to price adjustments.