TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 5, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an international soccer match between Grenada and Bonaire. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. The match is part of the CONCACAF Nations League competition and follows standard soccer timing rules.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Grenada vs Bonaire CONCACAF Nations League match scheduled for October 5, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5—after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The rules clarify that Kalshi has no official affiliation with CONCACAF, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective wisdom of traders, aiming to accurately predict the outcome. While sportsbook odds may initially reflect public perception, this market can quickly adjust as informed traders contribute their insights. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of market efficiency.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the total goals scored in the Grenada vs Bonaire match. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts anticipating a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price closely aligns with the collective prediction of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Grenada vs Bonaire match will be used to determine whether the total goals fall above or below the threshold defined by the market. Resolution will be based on the official match result as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual total goals scored in the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in team formations for either Grenada or Bonaire could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also play a role. Furthermore, any updates on player form or tactical approaches from either team could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected pre-match analysis or expert opinions could also contribute to price movements in this market.