TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Grenada vs. Bonaire
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Grenada vs. Bonaire?

Volume:
$563,608

Bonaire

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 6, 2026

Closed: Oct 5, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Bonaire

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$303,943
N/A
N/A
$196,531
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bonaire

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$24,950
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Grenada

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$128,552
N/A
N/A
$58,869
Settled
No
polymarket

Grenada

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,059
N/A
N/A
$49,383
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Grenada vs. Bonaire)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Grenada and Bonaire in the Concacaf Nations League, scheduled for October 5, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Bonaire winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official Concacaf statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 5, 2026, to see if this forecast holds as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving based on the official result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a clear hierarchy of resolution sources and handling of postponements/cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Concacaf statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Official statistics from Concacaf are the primary source for resolution.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, followed by Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.
  • A canceled game with no makeup game resolves 'No' for win markets and 'Yes' for the draw market.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • Data Availability: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official results are available, whichever is later.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, October 5, 2026 between Grenada and Bonaire.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Grenada vs Bonaire professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for October 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price. The resolution exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probabilities of various outcomes for the Grenada vs. Bonaire match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong expectation for a draw, with approximately 95 percent probability assigned to that outcome. Total volume across both platforms is $563,608, with $555,915 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows traders to express their beliefs about the match’s result and profit from correctly anticipating the final score. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides of a bet, while prediction markets are driven by genuine beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may incorporate subjective factors, this market aims to represent a more objective assessment of the Grenada vs. Bonaire match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and the specific mechanisms each platform employs for price discovery. Polymarket currently favors a draw at 95 percent, while Kalshi leans toward Grenada winning. These differences can also stem from varying levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply differing interpretations of the same information. Furthermore, each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with potentially unique biases or expertise related to the Grenada vs. Bonaire match.