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Gremio vs Paranaense: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Gremio vs Paranaense?

Volume:
$62,059

Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 10:27 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,846
N/A
N/A
$10,450
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,905
N/A
N/A
$9,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Paranaense wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,070
N/A
N/A
$10,204
Settled
No
kalshi

Paranaense wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,513
N/A
N/A
$4,513
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$725
N/A
N/A
$705
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Brazilian Serie A soccer match between Gremio and Paranaense. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Gremio versus Paranaense match scheduled for October 29, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are defined based on the margin of victory for either team. If Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals, its corresponding market resolves positively. For Paranaense, winning by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals each have their own resolving conditions. All resolutions depend solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty phases are excluded from consideration. The governing body is unrelated to Kalshi, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Gremio vs Paranaense match tracks the current price of the spread, along with a history of price movements. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $46,150, and the total volume traded to date, which is $55,323. This information allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to the outcome of the match. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different spread outcomes.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance their risk. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own insights, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate a wider range of factors, including less quantifiable elements, than traditional sportsbooks.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means that the odds can change rapidly as new information becomes available or as traders adjust their positions based on evolving expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between Gremio and Paranaense at the conclusion of the match. The resolution will be based on official match results and data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements might also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities in this market.