TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:28 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a major Brazilian league. The market focuses on determining whether either team secures a victory within the standard match duration, or if the game concludes without a clear winner.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Gremio vs Paranaense Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 29, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Gremio or Paranaense wins the match within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to a date more than 48 hours beyond the original schedule, the market will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after normal match time, with no consideration for post-regulation periods.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can express that view by trading in this market, potentially driving the price away from the sportsbook’s initial offering. This difference can be particularly noticeable when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gremio vs Paranaense match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders holding contracts for the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 30, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, public opinion and media coverage surrounding the Gremio vs Paranaense match can contribute to price movements as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions. Major upsets in other relevant matches could also indirectly affect this market.