TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a major league. The result is determined by the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is significantly delayed or canceled.
The event resolves based on the result of the Gremio vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Gremio wins, the 'Gremio' market resolves to Yes. If Internacional wins, the 'Internacional' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and does not include extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the odds here will adjust accordingly, potentially offering a different perspective on the probability of each team winning. It's a fascinating comparison to see how collective intelligence stacks up against professional oddsmakers.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gremio vs. Internacional match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders will then be able to collect on any winning contracts they hold. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that might influence the final result and the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the Brazilian Derby market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gremio or Internacional would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches that impact team motivation or league standings could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to make informed trading decisions in this market.