TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming soccer match between Gremio and Cruzeiro. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, determining whether the game is more or less dynamic in terms of scoring. The outcome depends solely on the final count of goals after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets collectively assess various scoring thresholds for the Gremio vs Cruzeiro Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the total number of goals scored by both teams combined exceeds a specific half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Importantly, goals scored during extra time or penalty kicks do not count toward any of these markets. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, risk assessments, and the influence of public sentiment. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total goals scored in the Gremio vs Cruzeiro match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market depth indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding each possible total goals outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Gremio vs Cruzeiro match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts following the official confirmation of the match results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gremio or Cruzeiro would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Furthermore, tactical changes announced by either team’s manager, or any unexpected lineup changes, could shift trader sentiment. Even public perception and betting trends in other markets could indirectly influence trading activity in this market.