TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Gremio vs Cruzeiro: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Gremio vs Cruzeiro?

Volume:
$26,442

Cruzeiro wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 5:02 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,345
N/A
N/A
$9,567
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,495
N/A
N/A
$3,561
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,188
N/A
N/A
$2,825
Settled
No
kalshi

Cruzeiro wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$800
N/A
N/A
$800
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$616
N/A
N/A
$443
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Gremio and Cruzeiro, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in a Gremio versus Cruzeiro Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026. Resolution occurs based on the size of the winning margin after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Gremio wins by more than 2.5 goals, that specific market resolves to Yes. Similarly, if Gremio wins by more than 1.5 goals, its corresponding market resolves positively. For Cruzeiro, winning by more than 1.5 goals triggers a Yes outcome in its related market, as does a victory margin exceeding 2.5 goals. All markets share the same underlying match and timing conditions, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Gremio vs Cruzeiro match tracks the current price of contracts representing outcomes in this market, along with a history of price movements. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $25,658, and the total volume traded to date, at $26,442. This allows you to see how confidence in different outcomes is shifting as traders buy and sell contracts. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding the spread in this soccer match.

Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance betting action, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that prediction market traders have access to, or place greater weight on, information not fully incorporated by sportsbooks. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and differences can arise due to varying analytical approaches.

This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Gremio vs Cruzeiro match, as determined by official match results. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.

Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Gremio or Cruzeiro could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of buy or sell orders – could cause noticeable price movements. Finally, any pre-match analysis or expert opinions that gain traction could also impact how traders assess the probabilities of different outcomes.