TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Gremio vs Cruzeiro
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What is the result of Gremio vs Cruzeiro?

Volume:
$604,537

Cruzeiro

 - Kalshi

Cruzeiro - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 18, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 5:02 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Cruzeiro

View
100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$373,624
N/A
N/A
$202,559
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$124,962
N/A
N/A
$67,027
Settled
No
kalshi

Gremio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$105,951
N/A
N/A
$66,908
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a major league. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is significantly delayed or canceled.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Gremio win, Cruzeiro win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. A draw after regular time resolves the Tie market to Yes. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event exclusively considers the result after normal playing time, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Gremio vs Cruzeiro match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities of different outcomes are changing in real-time. The current volume for this market is $515,531, while the total volume traded to date is $604,537. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific soccer contest. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of how traders are assessing the likely result of the match.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by actual money on the line. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before a significant amount of trading occurs. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets sometimes anticipate outcomes that diverge from initial sportsbook assessments, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Gremio vs Cruzeiro match. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of that contract will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The goal is to create a market where prices accurately represent the probability of each outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gremio vs Cruzeiro match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the official sources for the match result as the resolution date approaches.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team performance or strategic changes could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants might indicate new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring sports news, team announcements, and the trading activity on Kalshi will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.