TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 7:01 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. This determines the match's scoring outcome without considering extra time or penalty phases.
If Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta both score a goal in the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of both teams scoring, they can express that view by trading on Kalshi, driving the price towards what they perceive as the true probability. This dynamic can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' occurring in the Brazilian Serie B match. As more traders buy, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective judgment of all participants, and the market remains open until Oct 13, 2026, allowing for dynamic price discovery based on new information and evolving sentiment. The current price represents the market’s estimate of the likelihood of both teams scoring.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Gremio Novorizontino and Ponte Preta score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and this information will be verified against credible public sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will reflect the actual outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Gremio Novorizontino or Ponte Preta could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of goals. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, might also affect the expected scoring rate. Furthermore, team form and recent results, as well as any tactical changes announced by the managers, could all contribute to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price on Kalshi.