TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 6:33 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess the potential margin of victory in an upcoming soccer match between Gremio Novorizontino and Ferroviario. They focus on whether either team will secure a decisive win, defined by specific goal differentials. Outcomes are determined solely by the regulation time score, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential of the Gremio Novorizontino versus Ferroviario professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for November 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Gremio Novorizontino wins by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Ferroviario wins by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals. The resolving entity explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to different probabilities. If sportsbook odds suggest a very different outcome than what’s priced in here, it could signal an opportunity for informed traders. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ferroviario match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the market. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Gremio Novorizontino vs Ferroviario match as reported by official sources. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The exact payout amount will depend on the final result and the price of the contract purchased.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form for either Gremio Novorizontino or Ferroviario could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or even public perception shifts based on pre-game analysis could also contribute to price movements. Major betting trends or large volume trades on Kalshi could also signal changing expectations and drive price fluctuations.