TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether either the Green Bay Packers or Tampa Bay Buccaneers defensive/special teams units will score one or more touchdowns in their upcoming pro football game. Currently, the probability of Bucky Irving scoring 1+ touchdowns is 13.0%, while the probability of the GB Packers D/ST scoring 1+ touchdowns is 11.0%. The market resolves based on whether either team’s defense/special teams scores at least one touchdown in the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 4, 2026, to see if either defensive unit can find the endzone.
The event evaluates two separate defensive scoring markets for the Green Bay vs. Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the respective defensive unit (TB Buccaneers D/ST or GB Packers D/ST) scores at least one touchdown during the game. If a defensive unit is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once the unit takes at least one snap — even if the play is later nullified by a penalty — the market resolves based on the actual touchdowns scored. These rules ensure that markets reflect real-game performance once teams begin participating, while accounting for pre-snap market conditions if a team does not enter the game.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often set lines to attract balanced betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of different outcomes. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market tends to incorporate that data more efficiently than traditional odds, potentially providing a more accurate forecast than those found at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their predictions. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds based on their analysis of team performance, player statistics, and any other relevant information. As traders exchange contracts, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective belief of the market participants regarding the total number of touchdowns in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of touchdowns scored by both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the official game time will determine the final result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The final price of contracts will reflect whether your prediction aligned with the actual number of touchdowns scored.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause price shifts. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact scoring potential and move the market. Late-breaking reports on team strategies or coaching decisions could also influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the game’s likely outcome could drive changes in volume and price.