TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of both teams in a specific football game by measuring how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcomes depend on whether each team reaches various threshold levels of these tackles during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official number of sacks recorded by each team during the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all calculations. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring an equitable outcome regardless of the game's actual completion status. The resolution for each market is contingent upon whether the specified team achieves the designated minimum number of sacks as outlined in each respective market rule.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total number of sacks. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in various potential outcomes, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely number of sacks in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the Green Bay versus Tampa Bay game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Green Bay or Tampa Bay offensive lines or defensive pass rushers could significantly impact expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for passing, might also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to fluctuations in the price of contracts within this market.