TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
The market tracks the rushing performance of MarShawn Lloyd in a specific NFL game between Green Bay and Tampa Bay. Payouts for Yes contracts increase linearly with every rushing yard he accumulates, up to a maximum reward cap. No contracts receive the remainder of the dollar after subtracting the Yes payout from one dollar.
If Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by MarShawn Lloyd during the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the collective belief of traders regarding the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This market’s pricing is determined solely by traders on Kalshi and does not incorporate data from any other source.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are verifiable from credible public reporting following the conclusion of their game. The final rushing yard totals, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the official data is released.
News regarding injuries to key players, especially running backs MarShawn Lloyd and Aaron Jones, would likely have a substantial impact on this market. Changes in coaching strategies or offensive line performance could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions during the game, like heavy rain or strong winds, could favor a run-heavy approach and influence the predicted rushing yardage. Any late-breaking news about defensive adjustments by either team could also cause significant movement in the market as traders update their assessments prior to Oct 4, 2026.