TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Green Bay vs Tampa Bay: Receptions Ladder
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What is the result of Green Bay vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$4,107

MarShawn Lloyd

 - Kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:29 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd

View
25%
Yes 25¢No 75¢
—
N/A
$3,012
N/A
N/A
$3,007
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Christian Watson

15%
Yes 15¢No 85¢
—
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$1,017
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Emeka Egbuka

10%
Yes 10¢No 90¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Bucky Irving

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Golden

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
Total markets: 6

Description

These markets track the number of receptions achieved by specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Green Bay and Tampa Bay. Participants can bet on whether each player will reach certain reception thresholds, with payouts scaling based on actual performance. The structure rewards accurate predictions of player involvement in the game.

Kalshi

Each market operates as a scalar prediction mechanism where Yes contracts pay $0.05 per documented reception up to a maximum of $1.00, capped at 20 receptions. No contracts receive the remainder of the $1.00 stake after subtracting the Yes payout. Payouts adjust proportionally to the holder's position size, meaning larger positions receive correspondingly larger shares of the total payout. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, Yes contracts pay $0.40 and No contracts pay $0.60; eleven receptions would result in Yes paying $0.55 and No paying $0.45, while zero receptions yield a full $1.00 to No holders. All markets resolve based solely on official game statistics, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any affiliation with the NFL or ownership of related trademarks.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Packers-Buccaneers receptions market provides real-time data on the probabilities of various reception totals for players in the upcoming game. You can view the current odds, track the price history of different outcomes, and see the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $4,105. The total volume for this market is $4,107. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to player performance in terms of receptions.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though this market represents a distinct view based on traders’ forecasts.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a forward-looking assessment of the event’s potential results.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for the players involved in the Packers-Buccaneers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official statistics released by the NFL, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final results and their positions in this market.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even strategic adjustments announced by either team could all shift expectations and impact prices. Unexpected reports about a player's health, for example, could significantly alter the perceived likelihood of them achieving a certain reception total. Additionally, any late-breaking information about team matchups or defensive schemes could also lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.