TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Green Bay vs Tampa Bay: Receptions Escalator
kalshi

What is the result of Green Bay vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$10,367

MarShawn Lloyd

 - Kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:10 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd

View
5%
Yes 4.6¢No 95.5¢
—
N/A
$9,188
N/A
N/A
$8,688
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Christian Watson

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
$236
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Matthew Golden

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
$214
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Emeka Egbuka

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.7¢
—
N/A
$729
N/A
N/A
$729
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Tucker Kraft

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
ResolvedResult not available
kalshi

Bucky Irving

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This market allows participants to speculate on the number of receptions specific players will achieve in an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Tampa Bay. Payouts vary depending on the exact count of receptions each player records, offering a nuanced way to assess player performance.

Kalshi

The event consists of multiple parallel scalar markets, each tied to a different player's reception performance in the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay according to a predefined schedule that increases with the number of receptions, calculated using the formula: Payout Formula = floor(10000 x (min(s, 14) / 14)^3) / 10000, where 's' represents the official number of receptions. The maximum Yes payout is $1.00, and No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. All markets resolve to Yes if the specified conditions are met based on official game statistics. Each market operates independently, allowing participants to evaluate and bet on individual player performance metrics.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Packers vs Buccaneers receptions market provides a real-time view of how traders are pricing the likelihood of different reception totals. You can see the current price for various outcomes, the 24-hour trading volume of $9,662, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $10,367. The dashboard also displays a price history chart, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time and identify potential trends in trader sentiment regarding this matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven purely by individuals’ willingness to buy or sell based on their own predictions. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts closer to the event date.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals for the game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that particular outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential for receptions in the Packers vs Buccaneers game. The market efficiently incorporates diverse perspectives and insights.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL and will represent the total number of receptions made by players on each team during the game, as recorded by official statisticians.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, reception totals. Furthermore, any adjustments to team offensive schemes or play-calling tendencies reported by analysts or insiders could shift trader sentiment and move the market.