TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$260,393,102
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,894,304,386
408,643
Markets across
39,771
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,493
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track receiving yardage performance for specific players in an upcoming NFL game between Green Bay and Tampa Bay. Payouts scale linearly with the total yards each designated player accumulates during the match, offering participants a way to speculate on individual player performance.
Each market operates as a scalar betting structure where Yes contracts pay out $0.0025 for every receiving yard a specified player records in the designated game, capped at $1.00 for up to 400 yards. No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract regardless of outcome. Payouts are proportional to contract positions, meaning a holder's return scales with their stake size relative to total market participation. For instance, if a player records 80 yards, Yes contracts earn $0.20 while No contracts receive $0.80; at 200 yards, both sides split $0.50. Zero yards result in full $1.00 returns to No contracts and nothing to Yes contracts. All markets resolve based solely on official NFL statistics from the game scheduled for October 4, 2026, with Kalshi explicitly disclaiming any official affiliation with the NFL.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard thresholds for players in the Packers-Buccaneers game. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability that the corresponding player will exceed that yardage total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the collective forecast. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, incorporating new information and shifting sentiment as the game approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics from the Green Bay versus Tampa Bay game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the officially recorded receiving yards for each player included in the receiving yards ladder. The platform will verify the data against official sources to determine which contracts will pay out. It’s important to note that any adjustments or corrections made to the official statistics after the initial reporting will be reflected in the final resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key Packers and Buccaneers receivers are significant catalysts, as the absence of a top player would dramatically alter expectations. Weather conditions on game day, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing offenses and, consequently, receiving yardage totals. Unexpected changes in quarterback performance or offensive play-calling strategies could further shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player matchups or defensive schemes could lead to substantial price movements in this market.