TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how many receiving yards specific players accumulate in a football game between Green Bay and Tampa Bay. Payouts increase progressively with higher yardage totals for each named player, offering a way to speculate on individual performance.
Each market operates as a scalar contract where Yes payouts are determined by the player's official receiving yards in the specified game. The payout structure is cubic, meaning rewards grow rapidly with higher yardage, capped at $1.00 for 200 or more yards. For every 10-yard increment, a predefined payout tier applies, calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is the adjusted yardage value (capped at 200). No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout. Negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All contracts resolve based solely on the official game statistics, with no affiliation to the governing league.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information or analytical approaches. If significant differences exist between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate opportunities for arbitrage or suggest that the crowd holds a different view than professional oddsmakers regarding the likely outcome of the Packers-Buccaneers game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential receiving yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price movements. The market efficiently incorporates available information, providing a real-time assessment of the expected receiving yardage in the Packers-Buccaneers game. This creates a unique pricing mechanism distinct from traditional betting venues.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual total receiving yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the receiving yardage range will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available and verifiable game data.