TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on individual player performance in an upcoming football game, tracking whether specific players achieve various receiving yard thresholds. It allows bettors to speculate on how effectively these players might perform in terms of yardage gained through receptions during the match.
All markets refer to designated players in the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified player records the stated receiving yard threshold or more during the game. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual receiving yards recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against the specified yardage targets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price in this market will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potentially advantageous opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total receiving yards. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to dynamic price movements. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available, making it a valuable tool for gauging the collective forecast of informed participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yardage total for both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be sourced from official game statistics. The market will settle to the value closest to the actual combined receiving yards achieved during the game. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions and the final settled value of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions related to offensive play-calling could move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations will be quickly reflected in trading activity.