TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

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$245,601,049

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408,349

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4,443

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5

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Green Bay vs Tampa Bay: Race to 28 Points
kalshi

Which team will reach 28 points first?

Volume:
$4,659

Neither team

 - Kalshi

Neither team - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:04 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Neither team

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,295
N/A
N/A
$4,292
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Green Bay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
$344
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$13
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 28 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on the pace of scoring rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the sequence of points scored during the game.

Kalshi

The event determines whether Green Bay or Tampa Bay will be the first team to score 28 points in their Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, or if neither team achieves this milestone. Each market corresponds to one of the three possible outcomes: Green Bay, Tampa Bay, or Neither team. If either team reaches 28 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should neither team reach 28 points by the end of the game, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring a just conclusion regardless of scheduling disruptions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Packers-Buccaneers points race tracks the current odds of each team reaching 28 points first, along with the price history of those odds. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $384, and the total volume traded to date, which is $4,659. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to this specific matchup. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how the market is pricing the likelihood of each outcome in this points race.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and expert analysis. Sportsbooks set their initial odds to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of each team reaching 28 points first. As the event approaches, you may see convergence between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, especially if there's significant agreement between the two. However, discrepancies can persist due to differing information sources and risk assessments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 28 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. The higher the price, the greater the perceived probability of that team winning the race to 28 points. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—the Packers or the Buccaneers—reached 28 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring records. The platform will verify the results against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, completing the settlement process for all outstanding contracts in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could also play a role. Finally, as the game day approaches, any updates on team strategies or tactical adjustments might lead to further price fluctuations in this market.