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$1,944,100,805

420,493

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4,612

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5

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Green Bay vs Tampa Bay: Player Longest Reception
kalshi

What is the result of Green Bay vs Tampa Bay?

Volume:
$11,879

Jonnu Smith: over 9.5 yards

 - Kalshi

Jonnu Smith: over 9.5 yards - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 4:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jonnu Smith: over 9.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,685
N/A
N/A
$4,363
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ted Hurst III: over 13.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,981
N/A
N/A
$2,841
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kenny Gainwell: over 7.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
Settled
Yes
kalshi

MarShawn Lloyd: over 9.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
$102
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tez Johnson: over 8.5 yards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chris Godwin Jr.: over 14.5 yards

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,319
N/A
N/A
$1,306
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Watson: over 24.5 yards

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,030
N/A
N/A
$940
Settled
No
kalshi

Tucker Kraft: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$514
N/A
N/A
$504
Settled
No
kalshi

Cade Otton: over 13.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$295
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

Skyy Moore: over 13.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucky Irving: over 7.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$209
N/A
N/A
$209
Settled
No
kalshi

Matthew Golden: over 22.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207
N/A
N/A
$204
Settled
No
kalshi

Emeka Egbuka: over 17.5 yards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$165
N/A
N/A
$165
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks whether specific players achieve a reception longer than a set distance in an upcoming football game. Each market focuses on a different player's performance, evaluating if they record a significant catch during the match.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on whether the named player records a longest reception exceeding the specified yardage threshold in the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual longest reception recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each participant's performance against their respective thresholds.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL longest reception market tracks the current prices for each player to have the longest reception in the game, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $11,428 and the total volume traded to date of $11,879. You can also view a price history chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. This provides a visual representation of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is changing as game day approaches. The dashboard is a central hub for monitoring activity in this market.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own research and insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of each player achieving the longest reception. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources and the incentive structures of each venue.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each player. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that player having the longest reception. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective predictions of all participants. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome, driven by trader activity and information flow.

This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will be used to determine the longest reception, and this information will be publicly available following the game's completion. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome based on official data.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even strategic adjustments announced by the coaching staff could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about a player's health or playing time could significantly impact their odds. Additionally, any late-breaking information regarding matchups or defensive strategies could lead to adjustments in the prices of contracts. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be key to understanding how this market evolves.