TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Green Bay and Tampa Bay. The focus is on whether predetermined thresholds of passing attempts are met by the named players during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total passing attempts recorded by the specified quarterback—Jalon Daniels or Jordan Love—in the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty, the market resolves according to the actual number of passing attempts recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 23+, 28+, etc.), and if the quarterback meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely passing attempts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities from both to identify potential value, but remember that this market represents a distinct forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total passing attempts. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. The current price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential passing volume in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing attempts from the Green Bay Packers versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics, as recorded by the league. The contract corresponding to the correct range of total passing attempts will pay out $1.00, while others will expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources for the final game data to understand the resolution.