TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds. The outcomes depend on detailed statistical contributions, including offensive plays, defensive achievements, and special teams efforts. All calculations adhere to a standardized scoring system that rewards various in-game actions with specific point values.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or defensive units during the full game, including overtime, of Green Bay versus Tampa Bay scheduled for October 4, 2026. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, defensive, and special teams contributions as outlined in the scoring format. Each primary rule states that the market resolves to Yes if the designated player or team records above the specified fantasy point threshold. Players or units that do not participate or are not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point total published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration is used for resolution, with no additional rounding or post-expiration adjustments allowed. All markets are independent, and each evaluates a separate participant’s performance against their respective threshold.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the potential fantasy point total for the Packers vs Buccaneers game. The current price reflects the collective expectation of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official fantasy point totals from the Packers vs Buccaneers game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official fantasy point scores as calculated by a major fantasy sports provider. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing the market to reach a final price reflecting the anticipated result. This provides a clear and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Packers or the Buccaneers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to either passing or running offenses, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team dynamics could also play a role. Furthermore, general shifts in public sentiment or large trades on Kalshi itself can impact the price.