TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets allow participants to bet on the performance of individual players in an upcoming football game, with payouts directly tied to the players' fantasy points scored. The structure ensures that returns scale linearly with performance, offering a clear risk-reward balance for each player's outcome.
Each market operates on a scalar payout structure where Yes contracts pay $0.01 per PPR fantasy point scored by the specified player during the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Payouts are calculated using Sleeper's weekly standard PPR fantasy-point totals, rounded to the nearest cent with half cents rounded up, and capped between $0.00 and $1.00. The No contract payout is determined by subtracting the Yes payout from $1.00. If a player does not receive a fantasy-point figure from Sleeper for the specified week, they are considered to have scored 0.0 points, resulting in a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All payouts are proportional to the holder's position size, ensuring consistent scaling across varying investment levels.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd rather than a bookmaker’s individual assessment. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as they incentivize participants to express their true beliefs with real capital. This can lead to a different perspective on the probability of various outcomes in the Packers vs Buccaneers game, potentially identifying mispricings not captured elsewhere.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Packers vs Buccaneers game, as officially recorded by sports data providers. The market will determine which outcome—a Packers win, a Buccaneers win—is deemed to have occurred according to these sources. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and the contracts they hold, reflecting the accuracy of the collective prediction.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 4, 2026. Key player injuries to either the Packers or the Buccaneers would be a major catalyst, as would any significant changes in team performance or coaching strategies. Unexpected news regarding player availability, weather conditions impacting the game, or even shifts in public sentiment could all influence trading activity. Major upsets in other NFL games that week could also indirectly affect the market, as they might alter perceptions of team strength and overall league dynamics. Monitoring these signals is crucial for understanding potential market movements.