TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 3:26 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Pro Football matchup between Green Bay and Tampa Bay, this market will resolve if both teams score any points in the third quarter. Scoring methods such as touchdowns, field goals, and safeties will be counted to determine the outcome.
If Green Bay and Tampa Bay both score points in the 3rd quarter of the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated an ability to be more accurate than polls or initial sportsbook lines, though discrepancies can occur. It’s common to see this market move independently as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Packers and Buccaneers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both the Packers and Buccaneers will score in the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in both teams scoring. Conversely, selling 'Yes' contracts drives the price down. The market dynamically adjusts to reflect the evolving expectations of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers score at least one point during the third quarter of their game. Official game statistics from a trusted sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The market will then settle based on whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome occurred during the specified period.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Packers or Buccaneers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's offensive style, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half – such as dominant offensive drives or defensive stops – could lead traders to reassess the probability of both teams scoring in the 3rd quarter. Any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis could also move the market.