TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market checks whether both the Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will score any points in the second quarter of their match on October 4, 2026. All scoring methods are considered valid for this market.
If Green Bay and Tampa Bay both score points in the 2nd quarter of the Green Bay vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. Typically, sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, which isn’t necessarily present in a prediction market like Kalshi. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the likely outcome. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the potential result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the 2nd quarter. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information becomes available. The current price indicates the market’s aggregated belief about the likelihood of the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both the Green Bay Packers and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers score at least one point during the second quarter of the game. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The final result will be clearly indicated on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game, and all contracts will be settled accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key offensive players on either team would be a significant driver, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact scoring. Unexpected news regarding team strategy or coaching decisions could also shift expectations. Furthermore, public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators can influence trading activity. Even in-game events during the first quarter, such as early scoring drives or turnovers, could cause the market to react and adjust its price based on the evolving situation.